Guabira 1-2 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 25 Feb 2024

Guabira
1-2 HT 0-1
Santa Cruz
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Guabira vs Santa Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guabira v Santa Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.43/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.18
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 71%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
20.1 Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Guabira vs Santa Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 0.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 190
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.08.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-3 HT 1-2 Guabira Guabira BOLPLK
30.07.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
25.02.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
22.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
13.02.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-2 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
27.09.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 3-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ

Guabira 1-2 Santa Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-2
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.82 xG 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
266 Passes 166
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz nicked a narrow win over Guabira 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guabira at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Guabira had 59% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 41%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.82 to 0.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guabira.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guabira and 1.33 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Santa Cruz?

Guabira 1-2 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Guabira 57%, draw 24%, Santa Cruz 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Guabira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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