Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 8 Mar 2024

Racing Club Montevideo
2-0 HT 1-0
Cerro Largo
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2024

Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.11
6+ Goals
10%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club Montevideo v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
15.07.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
22.04.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
16.11.2019 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 2-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
14.09.2019 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU

Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 Cerro Largo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
2-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.94 xG 0.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
176 Passes 282
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo beat Cerro Largo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 41% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 59%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.94 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.40 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 Cerro Largo in the Copa Sudamericana on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 42%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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