Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 8 Mar 2024

Sportivo Ameliano
2-0 HT 2-0
Club Olimpia
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2024

Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 36% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.7pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sportivo Ameliano v Club Olimpia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
12.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
21.09.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.05.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
26.03.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 1-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
26.01.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PARSK

Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 Club Olimpia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2-0
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.68 xG 0.45
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
156 Passes 316
58% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano saw off Club Olimpia 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Ameliano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 37% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 63%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.68 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.33 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia?

Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 Club Olimpia in the Copa Sudamericana on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 33%, draw 28%, Club Olimpia 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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