Nice 1-2 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 8 Mar 2024

Nice
1-2 HT 1-2
Montpellier
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Nice vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
13%
4.12
X/2
7%
8.83
X/X
11%
5.09
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
12%
6.64
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.55/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.45
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.0 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Nice vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Montpellier
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.92 xG 1.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
400 Passes 334
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2024 Montpellier Montpellier 1-4 HT 0-3 Nice Nice FRK
10.11.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
22.07.2023 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier HAZ
27.05.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 2-3 HT 2-0 Nice Nice FR1
11.01.2023 Nice Nice 6-1 HT 2-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
12.03.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1

Nice 1-2 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
1-2
AWAY Montpellier
1.15 xG 1.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
477 Passes 215
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nice vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier nicked a narrow win over Nice 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nice at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nice had 65% of the ball to Montpellier's 35%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.15 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nice and 0.67 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Nice vs Montpellier?

Nice 1-2 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nice 52%, draw 23%, Montpellier 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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