Montpellier 1-4 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Montpellier
1-4 HT 0-3
Nice
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Montpellier vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.66
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
22.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.99
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
15%
6.42
X/2
20%
4.53
X/X
11%
4.05
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.06
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 46%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.61/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.34
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
22.4 Crosses 24.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Montpellier vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 425
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
22.07.2023 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier HAZ
27.05.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 2-3 HT 2-0 Nice Nice FR1
11.01.2023 Nice Nice 6-1 HT 2-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
12.03.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
07.11.2021 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1

Montpellier 1-4 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
1-4
AWAY Nice
2.41 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
394 Passes 436
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice ran out comfortable winners over Montpellier 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Montpellier had 49% of the ball to Nice's 51%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.41 to 1.89 — on chances, Montpellier could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montpellier and 1.67 for Nice.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Nice?

Montpellier 1-4 Nice in the France - Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 32%, draw 25%, Nice 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5
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