Le Puy 2-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Le Puy
2-1 HT 1-0
Stade Lavallois
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Le Puy vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.67
Over 2.5
55%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.65
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
22.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
14%
6.83
X/2
12%
4.38
X/X
12%
4.03
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.9
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Puy v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Puy EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 49%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Le Puy vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Puy squeezed past Stade Lavallois 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Le Puy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Le Puy vs Stade Lavallois?

Le Puy 2-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Puy vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Le Puy 34%, draw 27%, Stade Lavallois 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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