Saint-Priest 1-2 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
48%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
7%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
5.6
1/2
4%
22.45
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
7.87
X/2
10%
4.33
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
31%
2.44
2/X
10%
13.45
Value flag · X/1 at 7.87 — our 16% vs market 8.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Priest EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 54%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Priest
1-2
AWAY Valenciennes
1.19 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
224 Passes 308
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Saint-Priest vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes squeezed past Saint-Priest 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valenciennes as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saint-Priest had 46% of the ball to Valenciennes's 54%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.19 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Saint-Priest vs Valenciennes?

Saint-Priest 1-2 Valenciennes in the France - Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Priest vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Saint-Priest 27%, draw 29%, Valenciennes 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK More France - Cup
7 Feb 2024
20:30 Lyon vs Lille Analysis →
22:30 RC Strasbourg vs Le Havre Analysis →
22:30 Montpellier vs Nice Analysis →
22:30 Le Puy vs Stade Lavallois Analysis →
23:10 PSG vs Brest Analysis →