Jamshedpur 1-1 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 28% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.49/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.26
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.2 Crosses 20.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mumbai City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.61 xG 1.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
182 Passes 385
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-3 HT 2-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
08.08.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 5-0 HT 3-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINDK
27.01.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-2 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
22.10.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 1-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
17.02.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-2 HT 2-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
09.12.2021 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-2 HT 3-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
1-1
AWAY Mumbai City
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
229 Passes 413
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur and Mumbai City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 21% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 40% of the ball to Mumbai City's 60%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jamshedpur and 2.67 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City?

Jamshedpur 1-1 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 38%, draw 21%, Mumbai City 41%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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