Southampton U21 5-1 Stoke City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
4.0
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.29
No
37%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+9.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
73%
-10.1pp
37%
BTTS No
27%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
5-1
AWAY Stoke City U21
3.06 xG 2.53
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
643 Passes 187
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 swept aside Stoke City U21 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 20% / 39% — and on the day Southampton U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Southampton U21 had 72% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 28%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 3.06 to 2.53.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Southampton U21 5-1 Stoke City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 41%, draw 20%, Stoke City U21 39%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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