Puskas FC 0-2 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 8 Mar 2024

Puskas FC
0-2 HT 0-1
Ujpest
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Puskas FC vs Ujpest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puskas FC v Ujpest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.01/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.26
-13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
27.1 Crosses 25.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Puskas FC vs Ujpest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ujpest
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
318 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.08.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-3 HT 3-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.03.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
09.02.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MACK
30.10.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 3-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.08.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC

Puskas FC 0-2 Ujpest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
0-2
AWAY Ujpest
0.73 xG 0.71
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
356 Passes 297
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest beat Puskas FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 55% of the ball to Ujpest's 45%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.73 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Puskas FC and 1.33 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Ujpest?

Puskas FC 0-2 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 52%, draw 26%, Ujpest 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Puskas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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