Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Slask Wroclaw — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.48
X/2
7%
7.26
X/X
14%
4.45
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
15%
5.47
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +23%
1.64/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.31
+29% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.2 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 270
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POLK
03.09.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
05.05.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
23.10.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-2 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
30.04.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
05.11.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-2 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3-1
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.42 xG 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
385 Passes 411
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Slask Wroclaw
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok saw off Slask Wroclaw 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 49% of the ball to Slask Wroclaw's 51%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.33 for Slask Wroclaw.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Slask Wroclaw?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Slask Wroclaw in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Slask Wroclaw?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 45%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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