Piast Gliwice 2-3 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Mar 2024

Piast Gliwice
2-3 HT 1-1
Radomiak Radom
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Piast Gliwice vs Radomiak Radom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.19
No
67%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
49%
2.13
2-3 Goals
31%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.95
6+ Goals
4%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.13 — our 49% vs market 40.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.9
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
14%
4.14
X/2
10%
7.37
X/X
19%
3.48
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
13%
6.52
2/X
5%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.0pp
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.2pp
67%
BTTS No
58%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Piast Gliwice v Radomiak Radom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +20%
1.38/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.28
-12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.6 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Piast Gliwice vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.40 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
335 Passes 330
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
06.05.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
24.10.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 1-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
21.05.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
14.12.2021 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-2 HT 1-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Piast Gliwice 2-3 Radomiak Radom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
2-3
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.49 xG 1.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
309 Passes 193
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom nicked a narrow win over Piast Gliwice 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 59% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 41%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.49 to 1.46 — on chances, Piast Gliwice could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.20 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Radomiak Radom?

Piast Gliwice 2-3 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 41%, draw 33%, Radomiak Radom 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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