Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Estrela vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Estrela
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Estrela
POR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Casa Pia
POR2
Estrela 3-1 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Estrela got the better of Casa Pia 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and on the day Estrela made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Estrela had 52% of the ball to Casa Pia's 48%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.84 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estrela had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estrela and 1.00 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Estrela vs Casa Pia?
Estrela 3-1 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estrela 40%, draw 28%, Casa Pia 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estrela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.