Portimonense 0-3 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

Portimonense
0-3 HT 0-1
Porto
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Portimonense vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
59%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.93 — our 28% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
19.95
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
6%
27.0
X/1
6%
25.5
X/2
19%
3.35
X/X
9%
8.79
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.4
2/X
6%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
+12.6pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.7pp
59%
Away Win
77%
-17.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portimonense v Porto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 81%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.83/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.79
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
224 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
10.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.2
12.1 Crosses 19.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Portimonense vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Porto
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.52 xG 2.27
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
207 Passes 479
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 44
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
02.04.2023 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
08.10.2022 Portimonense Portimonense 0-2 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
14.07.2022 Portimonense Portimonense 0-1 HT 0-1 Porto Porto HAZ
16.04.2022 Porto Porto 7-0 HT 4-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
03.12.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-3 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR

Portimonense 0-3 Porto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
0-3
AWAY Porto
0.21 xG 2.27
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 13
194 Passes 518
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 44
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto swept aside Portimonense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portimonense had 31% of the ball to Porto's 69%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.21 to 2.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Portimonense and 2.50 for Porto.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Porto?

Portimonense 0-3 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 20%, draw 21%, Porto 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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