Krylya Sovetov 0-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
13%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 28% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
4.29
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
9%
5.92
X/2
12%
4.98
X/X
15%
4.38
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
12%
3.38
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.53/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.42
+60% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
15.1 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.04.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
15.03.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
12.03.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-0 HT 3-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
04.09.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
04.12.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.32 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
441 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova got the better of Krylya Sovetov 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day CSKA Moskova made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 60% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 40%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.32 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.83 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova?

Krylya Sovetov 0-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 40%, draw 26%, CSKA Moskova 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
8 Mar 2024
18:30 Rostov vs Krasnodar Analysis →