Rostov 2-1 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

Rostov
2-1 HT 1-0
Krasnodar
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Rostov vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.84
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
16%
5.35
X/2
10%
5.45
X/X
15%
4.07
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.94
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.72/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.24
+36% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.3 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Rostov vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
329 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-2 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
06.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUSK
09.10.2022 Rostov Rostov 3-2 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
30.04.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 2-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
13.09.2021 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS

Rostov 2-1 Krasnodar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
2-1
AWAY Krasnodar
1.22 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
276 Passes 267
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov edged past Krasnodar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rostov found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rostov had 50% of the ball to Krasnodar's 50%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.22 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rostov and 2.00 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Krasnodar?

Rostov 2-1 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rostov 38%, draw 29%, Krasnodar 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5
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