Radnik Surdulica 0-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Mar 2024

Radnik Surdulica
0-1 HT 0-0
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2023/2024

Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radnik Surdulica v Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.06/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.02
-39% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.6 Crosses 22.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.7

Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.84 xG 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 212
65% Pass Accuracy 62%
14 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
26.09.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
05.11.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
23.07.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
06.12.2021 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
13.10.2021 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-0 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRBK

Radnik Surdulica 0-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
0-1
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.34 xG 1.24
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
124 Passes 320
53% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac nicked a narrow win over Radnik Surdulica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 36% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 64%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.34 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 0.33 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Radnik Surdulica 0-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 38%, draw 30%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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