Spartak Subotica 0-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.42/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.21
+28% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.8 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
239 Passes 241
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
01.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.08.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
20.03.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.10.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
07.03.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
0-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.16 xG 1.58
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
210 Passes 352
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 33
25 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar squeezed past Spartak Subotica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Novi Pazar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 40% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 60%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.16 to 1.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Novi Pazar's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar?

Spartak Subotica 0-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 32%, draw 31%, Novi Pazar 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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