Wrexham 1-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

Wrexham
1-0 HT 0-0
Rotherham United
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Wrexham vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.59
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.38
X/2
11%
7.95
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
13%
6.47
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.29/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.97
+2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
24.3 Crosses 23.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1

Wrexham vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Rotherham United
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.23 xG 1.17
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
153 Passes 388
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 35
23 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-1 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
22.12.2007 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
15.09.2007 Wrexham Wrexham 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
20.02.2001 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
12.09.2000 Wrexham Wrexham 1-3 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1

Wrexham 1-0 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1-0
AWAY Rotherham United
0.59 xG 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
192 Passes 227
65% Pass Accuracy 65%
11 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham nicked a narrow win over Rotherham United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wrexham had 45% of the ball to Rotherham United's 55%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.59 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Wrexham and 1.80 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Rotherham United?

Wrexham 1-0 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 41%, draw 27%, Rotherham United 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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