Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.99
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
10%
4.68
X/2
12%
6.97
X/X
17%
4.02
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.53
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +22%
1.13/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.97
-42% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
246 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 69%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.3 Crosses 19.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.59 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
200 Passes 239
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town FAK
19.10.2024 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
22.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
10.12.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
26.04.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
13.11.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-1
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.12 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
231 Passes 197
66% Pass Accuracy 60%
14 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage and Mansfield Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Stevenage had 51% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 49%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.12 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Stevenage and 1.00 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 42%, draw 30%, Mansfield Town 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stevenage), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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