Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.02/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.85
-41% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +79%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 17.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 276
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
22.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
10.12.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
26.04.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
13.11.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
17.04.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
0-1
AWAY Mansfield Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town nicked a narrow win over Stevenage 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Mansfield Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 61% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 39%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Stevenage and 1.00 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield Town in the England - FA Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 38%, draw 30%, Mansfield Town 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stevenage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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