Salford City 2-0 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.76
6+ Goals
13%
16.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.45/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.02
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 72%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
37.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.78 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
277 Passes 233
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
13 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
10.01.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İNTK
20.03.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
12.12.2020 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
14.09.2019 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
2-0
AWAY Cheltenham Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
0 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City saw off Cheltenham Town 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salford City had 56% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 44%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Salford City and 1.60 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Cheltenham Town?

Salford City 2-0 Cheltenham Town in the England - FA Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salford City 45%, draw 24%, Cheltenham Town 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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