Salford City 2-1 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
10%
4.16
X/2
12%
7.6
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
15%
5.87
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.38/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.11
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 62%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
20.2 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.80 xG 1.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 241
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
10 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.01.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İNTK
20.03.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
12.12.2020 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
14.09.2019 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
2-1
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.72 xG 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 200
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City nicked a narrow win over Cheltenham Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Salford City had 54% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 46%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.72 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Salford City and 1.75 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Cheltenham Town?

Salford City 2-1 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Salford City 43%, draw 26%, Cheltenham Town 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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