Walsall 2-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.3
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.99
X/2
15%
6.05
X/X
9%
4.47
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.32
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +26%
1.32/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.12
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 65%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.6 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bradford City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
208 Passes 280
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Walsall Walsall 2-3 HT 2-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
30.09.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-3 HT 1-2 Walsall Walsall İN2
07.03.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
03.09.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
25.01.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
04.09.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-1
AWAY Bradford City
2.19 xG 0.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
192 Passes 270
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall nicked a narrow win over Bradford City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Walsall had 44% of the ball to Bradford City's 56%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.19 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Walsall's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walsall and 1.50 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Bradford City?

Walsall 2-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Walsall 43%, draw 25%, Bradford City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5
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