Bromley 2-4 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 28% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.91
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
12%
6.14
X/2
16%
5.44
X/X
10%
5.04
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
12%
3.29
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 43%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
0.60/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.99
+56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
14.0 Crosses 20.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromley
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Notts County
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2023 Bromley Bromley 1-1 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İBSL
01.11.2022 Notts County Notts County 1-1 HT 1-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
29.01.2022 Bromley Bromley 1-0 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İBSL
26.10.2021 Notts County Notts County 1-1 HT 0-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
29.05.2021 Bromley Bromley 1-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İBSL
15.05.2021 Notts County Notts County 2-2 HT 0-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
2-4
AWAY Notts County
1.90 xG 3.13
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
168 Passes 455
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County beat Bromley 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Notts County made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bromley had 34% of the ball to Notts County's 66%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.90 to 3.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bromley had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bromley and 0.83 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Notts County?

Bromley 2-4 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bromley 40%, draw 25%, Notts County 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bromley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bromley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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