Gillingham 3-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.39
X/2
9%
6.95
X/X
8%
3.95
2/1
12%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.62
2/X
10%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.64/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.41
+0% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
242 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 63%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.7 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
283 Passes 211
64% Pass Accuracy 62%
30 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
25.11.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
11.03.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
13.08.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
07.09.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 0-2 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
18.04.2014 Gillingham Gillingham 2-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
3-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.10 xG 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
187 Passes 373
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 38
21 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham swept aside Tranmere Rovers 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gillingham as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gillingham had 37% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 63%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 2.10 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gillingham and 1.50 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?

Gillingham 3-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 47%, draw 26%, Tranmere Rovers 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gillingham) ✗ Under 2.5
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