Walsall 2-3 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.05
1/2
12%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
9%
4.94
X/2
11%
6.46
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.44
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +24%
1.58/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.13
-3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.9 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bradford City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
225 Passes 294
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-3 HT 1-2 Walsall Walsall İN2
07.03.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
03.09.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
25.01.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
04.09.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
27.02.2021 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-3
AWAY Bradford City
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
237 Passes 203
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Walsall 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Bradford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Walsall had 53% of the ball to Bradford City's 47%, shots finished 22-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Walsall and 1.33 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Bradford City?

Walsall 2-3 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Walsall 38%, draw 24%, Bradford City 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walsall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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