Mansfield Town vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mansfield Town v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Mansfield Town vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Mansfield Town
İN2
2-0
HT 2-0
Gillingham
İN2
0-2
HT 0-2
Mansfield Town
İN2
Mansfield Town 2-1 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Mansfield Town squeezed past Gillingham 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mansfield Town had 60% of the ball to Gillingham's 40%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.04 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mansfield Town's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mansfield Town and 0.33 for Gillingham.
What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Gillingham?
Mansfield Town 2-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Gillingham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 47%, draw 25%, Gillingham 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.