Stockport County 4-2 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

Stockport County
4-2 HT 2-1
Accrington Stanley
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Stockport County vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.63
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.3
X/1
25%
3.5
X/2
7%
15.7
X/X
7%
7.25
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
11%
12.1
2/X
8%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.76/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.03
-23% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 62%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
23.4 Crosses 17.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Stockport County vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 0.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
251 Passes 233
61% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-3 HT 0-2 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
08.03.2011 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-0 HT 3-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
28.09.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
23.02.2008 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-2 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
12.01.2008 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
17.02.2007 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2

Stockport County 4-2 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
4-2
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.69 xG 0.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
434 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
38 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County got the better of Accrington Stanley 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Stockport County had 61% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 39%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.69 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stockport County and 1.00 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Accrington Stanley?

Stockport County 4-2 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 55%, draw 23%, Accrington Stanley 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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