Accrington Stanley 2-2 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.92/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/3.31
-47% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Swindon Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.08 xG 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
202 Passes 281
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-2 HT 2-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
12.03.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
28.11.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-4 HT 0-2 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
06.03.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 2-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
17.11.2020 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-3 HT 0-3 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
05.05.2018 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
2-2
AWAY Swindon Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Accrington Stanley at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 50% of the ball to Swindon Town's 50%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.83 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Swindon Town?

Accrington Stanley 2-2 Swindon Town in the England - FA Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 44%, draw 24%, Swindon Town 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Accrington Stanley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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