Swindon Town 1-2 Accrington Stanley — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — England - League Two, 12 Mar 2024

Swindon Town LDWDL→
1 - 2 HT 0 - 0
Accrington Stanley DLLLL→
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Also in play: 3-2 · 4-1 — 6% together
England - League Two – 2023/2024

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.79
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.14
OverVIEW
60%
1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.45
2-3
45%
1.89
4-5
28%
2.92
6+
8%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.36
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.42
X/2
8%
8.45
X/X
14%
5.58
2/1
3%
21.45
2/2
12%
5.8
2/X
5%
13.9
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Swindon Town The Market 56%
Signal
AWAY Accrington Stanley The Market 27%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
1.15 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 67%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.38 xG 2.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
276 Passes 228
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-4 HT 0-2 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
06.03.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 2-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
17.11.2020 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-3 HT 0-3 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
05.05.2018 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
06.02.2018 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
25.02.2012 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2

Swindon Town 1-2 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
1 - 2
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.28 xG 2.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 190
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Accrington Stanley squeezed past Swindon Town 2-1 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Swindon Town at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in Swindon Town's favour, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.28 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Swindon Town against 1.67 for Accrington Stanley.

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley Result & Final Score

Swindon Town 1 - 2 Accrington Stanley in the England - League Two on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 55%, draw 24%, Accrington Stanley 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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