Walsall 1-1 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Mar 2024

Walsall
1-1 HT 1-0
Barrow
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Walsall vs Barrow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
19%
4.81
X/2
12%
6.59
X/X
9%
4.42
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.78
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Walsall v Barrow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +13%
1.54/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.24
-3% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 69%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.1 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Walsall vs Barrow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Barrow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 238
68% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
04.03.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
16.08.2022 Barrow Barrow 2-1 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
05.03.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
23.10.2021 Walsall Walsall 2-2 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
12.03.2021 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2

Walsall 1-1 Barrow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-1
AWAY Barrow
2.03 xG 1.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
278 Passes 299
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall and Barrow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Walsall had 48% of the ball to Barrow's 52%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.03 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Walsall and 1.50 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Barrow?

Walsall 1-1 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Walsall 43%, draw 26%, Barrow 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Walsall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5
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