Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.31
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
13%
7.81
X/2
17%
4.66
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.56
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 51%
+20% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.24/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.11
+40% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
15.1 Crosses 22.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
252 Passes 305
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.11.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
18.02.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
06.08.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
11.03.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-2 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
30.10.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
27.03.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2-1
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.91 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
283 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers edged past Mansfield Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 49% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 51%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.91 to 1.43 — on chances, Mansfield Town could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.67 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Mansfield Town?

Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Mansfield Town in the England - 2nd Division on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 30%, draw 29%, Mansfield Town 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mansfield Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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