Newport County vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Newport County v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Newport County 5-3 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics
Newport County saw off Morecambe 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. A 8-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newport County as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Newport County's favour, shots finished 19-23, expected goals 1.65 to 4.20 — on chances, Morecambe could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Newport County against 0.83 for Morecambe.
Newport County vs Morecambe Result & Final Score
Newport County 5 - 3 Morecambe in the England - League Two on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Newport County vs Morecambe Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newport County 44%, draw 27%, Morecambe 28%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport County), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.