Mansfield Town 0-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

Mansfield Town
0-1 HT 0-1
Stevenage
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Mansfield Town vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.23
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
21%
4.96
X/2
10%
6.23
X/X
12%
4.4
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.47
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mansfield Town v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.49/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.09
+10% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
– Crosses 17.3
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Mansfield Town vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Stevenage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.04 xG 0.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 244
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
10.12.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
26.04.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
13.11.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
17.04.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
10.10.2020 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2

Mansfield Town 0-1 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
0-1
AWAY Stevenage
1.11 xG 0.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
414 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
44 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Mansfield Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 58% of the ball to Stevenage's 42%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.11 to 0.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mansfield Town.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mansfield Town and 0.17 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Stevenage?

Mansfield Town 0-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 42%, draw 27%, Stevenage 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mansfield Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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