Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.74
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.83
X/2
9%
7.14
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.3
2/2
17%
4.71
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.50/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.0 Crosses 20.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Peterborough United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.11
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
164 Passes 368
61% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
10.02.2024 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 5-2 HT 2-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
21.10.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
01.01.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
18.10.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNTK
15.10.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
3-1
AWAY Peterborough United
2.20 xG 1.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
343 Passes 382
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers saw off Peterborough United 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Wycombe Wanderers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 48% of the ball to Peterborough United's 52%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.20 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.33 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Peterborough United?

Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 40%, draw 26%, Peterborough United 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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