Northampton Town 1-0 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.79
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
16%
6.32
X/2
16%
4.68
X/X
11%
4.25
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.15
2/X
10%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.16/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.11
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.1 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 1.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
180 Passes 318
58% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 4-3 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
24.10.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
02.01.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
15.10.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
23.04.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-4 HT 1-4 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
27.11.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
1-0
AWAY Leyton Orient
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 4
175 Passes 379
62% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town nicked a narrow win over Leyton Orient 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Northampton Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Northampton Town had 36% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 64%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Northampton Town and 1.33 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Leyton Orient?

Northampton Town 1-0 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 37%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northampton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northampton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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