Hebburn Town 1-1 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.3pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.19/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.76
-18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +82%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebburn Town
1-1
AWAY Ashton United
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hebburn Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebburn Town and Ashton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hebburn Town had 53% of the ball to Ashton United's 47%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of Hebburn Town vs Ashton United?

Hebburn Town 1-1 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebburn Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebburn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hebburn Town 35%, draw 32%, Ashton United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hebburn Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hebburn Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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