AFC Sudbury 1-2 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.67/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.41
+18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Leiston
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Leiston Leiston 3-2 HT 3-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
27.01.2024 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
26.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston edged past AFC Sudbury 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Leiston made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AFC Sudbury and 2.00 for Leiston.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Leiston?

AFC Sudbury 1-2 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 34%, draw 30%, Leiston 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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