Leiston 2-1 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.67/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
-6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +67%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
26.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
2-1
AWAY AFC Sudbury
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leiston vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston edged past AFC Sudbury 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Leiston made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leiston had 47% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 53%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Leiston vs AFC Sudbury?

Leiston 2-1 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leiston 37%, draw 33%, AFC Sudbury 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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