Folkestone Invicta 3-3 Carshalton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
30%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Folkestone Invicta EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Carshalton Athletic EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Folkestone Invicta vs Carshalton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folkestone Invicta and Carshalton Athletic shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Folkestone Invicta at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Folkestone Invicta vs Carshalton Athletic?

Folkestone Invicta 3-3 Carshalton Athletic in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Folkestone Invicta vs Carshalton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Folkestone Invicta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Folkestone Invicta 56%, draw 20%, Carshalton Athletic 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Folkestone Invicta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Folkestone Invicta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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