Mickleover Sports 2-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.40/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.87
+27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mickleover Sports
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Barwell
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
07.10.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-2 Mickleover Sports FAK
25.09.2023 Barwell Barwell 1-2 HT 0-1 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
18.03.2023 Mickleover Sports 2-3 HT 0-3 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
15.10.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-5 HT 1-2 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mickleover Sports
2-1
AWAY Barwell
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mickleover Sports vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mickleover Sports squeezed past Barwell 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mickleover Sports as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Mickleover Sports had 65% of the ball to Barwell's 35%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mickleover Sports had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Mickleover Sports and 2.00 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Mickleover Sports vs Barwell?

Mickleover Sports 2-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mickleover Sports vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mickleover Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mickleover Sports 46%, draw 28%, Barwell 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mickleover Sports), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mickleover Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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