Tiverton Town 4-2 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 59%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.84/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.37
-37% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Poole Town
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
17.10.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
13.08.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 2-4 HT 1-4 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
12.03.2022 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
17.08.2021 Poole Town Poole Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town saw off Poole Town 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Poole Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tiverton Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Tiverton Town and 1.40 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Poole Town?

Tiverton Town 4-2 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 26%, draw 24%, Poole Town 51%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Poole Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Poole Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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