Leek Town 0-1 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leek Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +33%
1.67/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.48
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leek Town
0-1
AWAY Morpeth Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leek Town vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town edged past Leek Town 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Morpeth Town made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Leek Town had 59% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 41%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Leek Town vs Morpeth Town?

Leek Town 0-1 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leek Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 36%, draw 33%, Morpeth Town 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leek Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leek Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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