Mjallby 0-1 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.30/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.08
-83% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hacken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
229 Passes 517
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
31.03.2024 Hacken Hacken 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
29.10.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
11.06.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-4 HT 0-2 Hacken Hacken İSÇK
15.08.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
0-1
AWAY Hacken
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken edged past Mjallby 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mjallby at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjallby had 54% of the ball to Hacken's 46%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mjallby and 1.67 for Hacken.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Hacken?

Mjallby 0-1 Hacken in the Sweden - Cup on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 48%, draw 22%, Hacken 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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