Hacken 0-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.35
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
10%
4.13
X/2
15%
8.51
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
9%
6.4
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-13.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+9.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +36%
2.08/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.12
+21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +72%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.8 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mjallby
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.64 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
436 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
11.06.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-4 HT 0-2 Hacken Hacken İSÇK
15.08.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
10.07.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
18.09.2021 Hacken Hacken 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
0-1
AWAY Mjallby
0.91 xG 0.61
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
514 Passes 270
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
54 Box Touches 16
40 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby squeezed past Hacken 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mjallby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hacken had 63% of the ball to Mjallby's 37%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.91 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hacken and 0.67 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Mjallby?

Hacken 0-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hacken 39%, draw 28%, Mjallby 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hacken), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hacken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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