GAIS 0-4 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.42
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
11%
5.38
X/2
10%
5.9
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2 EV+ ✓
27%
3.89
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/2 at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.46/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/1.42
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
Crosses 18.9
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
14.04.2019 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
30.09.2017 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
17.06.2017 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 3-2 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
24.10.2015 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
01.05.2015 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
23.08.2010 GAIS GAIS 1-1 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
0-4
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.33 xG 1.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
469 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna swept aside GAIS 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brommapojkarna as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, GAIS had 58% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 42%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.33 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GAIS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GAIS and 1.00 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Brommapojkarna?

GAIS 0-4 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split GAIS 33%, draw 23%, Brommapojkarna 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brommapojkarna), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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