Augsburg II 5-4 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Mar 2025

Augsburg II
5-4 HT 1-2
Nürnberg II
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Augsburg II vs Nürnberg II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.7pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Augsburg II v Nürnberg II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
2.39/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.94
+44% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Augsburg II vs Nürnberg II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg II
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Nürnberg II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-1 HT 3-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 5-4 HT 1-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-2 HT 0-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
29.04.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 4-2 HT 3-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
03.10.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-2 HT 1-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
14.04.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 4-2 HT 2-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg II nicked a narrow win over Nürnberg II 5-4. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 19% / 41%) promised a tight game; Augsburg II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg II had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Augsburg II and 2.17 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Nürnberg II?

Augsburg II 5-4 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 40%, draw 19%, Nürnberg II 41%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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