Mainz 05 II 1-2 Astoria Walldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-9.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.54/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.73
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-2 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.04.2024 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 4-1 HT 3-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-2 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-2 HT 1-1 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
10.04.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 6-0 HT 4-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Astoria Walldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf edged past Mainz 05 II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Astoria Walldorf found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Astoria Walldorf led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.83 for Astoria Walldorf.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Astoria Walldorf?

Mainz 05 II 1-2 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Astoria Walldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Astoria Walldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 35%, draw 27%, Astoria Walldorf 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astoria Walldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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