Hobro IK 1-3 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.28
1/2
6%
21.7
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
12%
8.55
X/2
21%
4.52
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.35
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 56%
+18% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.31/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.19
+50% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
17.6 Crosses 24.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
1W-0D-5L
AWAY AC Horsens
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.13 xG 1.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 359
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
01.12.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-1 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
15.09.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
28.11.2021 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-1 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
18.09.2021 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-3 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
08.07.2020 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-2 HT 1-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
1-3
AWAY AC Horsens
0.98 xG 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
386 Passes 315
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens got the better of Hobro IK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 58% of the ball to AC Horsens's 42%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.98 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AC Horsens led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hobro IK and 1.83 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs AC Horsens?

Hobro IK 1-3 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 30%, draw 28%, AC Horsens 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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